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Russia and Ukraine talks: A guide to the demands and the redlines


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A guide to what Russia and Ukraine want from talks — and where the red lines are

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KEY POINTS
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  • Russian and Ukrainian officials are conducting talks while the war continues to rage.
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  • Both sides have much to lose from the war that Russia began on Feb. 24.
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TOPSHOT - A fireman embraces a woman outside a damaged apartment building in Kyiv on March 15, 2022, after strikes on residential areas killed at least two people, Ukraine emergency services said as Russian troops intensified their attacks on the Ukrainia

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A fireman embraces a woman outside a damaged apartment building in Kyiv on March 15, 2022, after strikes on residential areas killed at least two people, Ukraine emergency services said as Russian troops intensified their attacks on the Ukrainian capital.
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Aris Messinis | Afp | Getty Images
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As Russian forces pummel towns, villages and cities across Ukraine, pressure is growing on officials from both side to come to some sort of resolution, bringing an end to the destruction and bloodshed as soon as possible.

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Previous attempts at talks appear to have made little progress, with the demands of both sides seemingly far apart, but there is room for compromise and signs that discussions are heading in the right direction.

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02:11

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Ukraine-Russia talks fail, no progress on cease-fire
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In his nightly address on Monday, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said talks that day had been “pretty good.” Meanwhile, Russia said discussions over the weekend had made “substantial progress.”

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A fifth round of talks are set to take place on Tuesday with hopes that this impetus to reach a deal can continue.

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Mar 15
Paul F (Mar 15 2022 2:31PM) : Peace talks continue more

Peace talks continue even as Putin says he would like to accomplish all military goals in Ukraine

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Here is a brief guide to what each side wants:

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What does Russia want?

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One of the biggest questions posed by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which began in earnest on Feb. 24., is what does President Vladimir Putin want — because it’s not been made entirely clear.

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Many close observers of the country have said that Putin’s overarching aim is to restore Russia’s sphere of influence over former Soviet territories like Ukraine, and to stop their slide towards the West.

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In the near-term, Putin is seen wanting to topple Ukraine’s pro-Western government and install a pro-Russian puppet leadership there in a bid to bring Ukraine back into Russia’s orbit.

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Mar 15
Paul F (Mar 15 2022 2:33PM) : Like in 2014 more

Putin wants to see a return of a pro-Russian government, like the one that Viktor Yanukovych ran in 2014 before the pro-Western Euromaidan protests

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For its part, Russia has been clear in stating what it wants from talks with Ukraine:

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It wants legal guarantees that Ukraine will never be allowed to NATO, the Western military alliance, and has since said that it wants Ukraine to sign a neutrality agreement and to change its constitution to cement this.

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Paul F (Mar 15 2022 2:34PM) : National Security more

How would Ukraine be able to defend its national security if it was not able to join NATO and be protected under the “attack on one is an attack on all” provision?

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Delegations attend the third round of Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Brest, Belarus on March 07, 2022.

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Delegations attend the third round of Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Brest, Belarus on March 07, 2022.
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Foreign Ministry of Belarus | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images
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Moscow has demanded that Ukraine recognize the independence of two separatist, pro-Russian republics in eastern Ukraine, the so-called Peoples Republics of Donetsk and Lugansk. It has also demanded that Ukraine recognizes Crimea, which it annexed in 2014, as Russian territory. And it has called on Ukraine to cease all military activity.

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Paul F (Mar 15 2022 2:36PM) : Why should they? more

There is no short-term benefit of Zelensky’s government recognizing the independence of Donetsk, Luhansk, and Crimea and this land historically belongs to Ukraine, so I believe that these areas should not be declared independent by the Ukrainian government

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Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said last week that the war will stop “in a moment” if Ukraine agrees to these demands.

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Russia has much to lose from the war with Ukraine, and has already been largely isolated on a geopolitical, financial and commercial stage, with businesses and brands pulling out of Russia in the wake of the war and the West’s imposition of wide-ranging and hard-hitting sanctions on Russia, leaving its economy in tatters.

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Paul F (Mar 15 2022 2:37PM) : Quick Timeline more

Russia may move quicker on peace talks, as they have been cut off from major supplies as a new Iron Curtain falls across their country

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What does Ukraine want?

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President Zelenskyy summed up Ukraine’s aim when he said Monday that his country wants a “fair peace” with Russia. He has insisted the country is not willing to surrender, or accept ultimatums from Russia.

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Ukraine has demanded a ceasefire with Russia, the withdrawal of Russian troops and has said it will not cede any of its territory to Russia. However, it’s unclear whether this means it will refuse to recognize the breakaway pro-Russian republics in the Donbas or Crimea as Russian territory.

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02:25

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Despite peace talks, in the end Putin ‘still wants Ukraine,’ strategist says
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Ukraine has also signaled that it may compromise on future NATO membership, saying it would be willing to forego membership if it received “security guarantees” from the U.S. and NATO, ensuring its safety and security, in addition to any agreement with Russia.

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Paul F (Mar 15 2022 2:38PM) : Neutrality more

Security guarantees would be a good way of solving this issue. Also, Zelensky has been open to the future neutrality of Ukraine as a possible means of ending the conflict

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An immediate priority for Ukraine has been the creation of humanitarian corridors to allow the safe evacuation of civilians, some of whom have been trying to survive under siege and unable to escape.

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Paul F (Mar 15 2022 2:39PM) : Russians and Ukrainians must first agree on this more

Russians and Ukrainians must first agree that these humanitarian corridors remain safe, as there have been promises broken by Russia as their soldiers continue to shoot and shell in these evacuation areas

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A key concern for Ukraine in recent weeks has been the southern port city of Mariupol. It is surrounded by Russian forces and has been facing near constant shelling while food, water and power in the city became scarce and previous attempts at a ceasefire failed.

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There has been mixed success at creating humanitarian corridors in Ukraine, with some being created but directing Ukrainians into Russia, or its ally Belarus, while others have been scrapped amid reports of civilians coming under fire as they try to flee.

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It is hoped that more civilians will be able to evacuate Mariupol on Tuesday, after a large number of civilians left on Monday.

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Ukraine has said it plans to send a convoy with humanitarian supplies to the port city on Tuesday and hopes to take women and children out of the city on its way back, Reuters reported.

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More than 2,500 residents have been killed in Mariupol since the Russian invasion on Feb. 24, according to a Ukrainian official on Monday cited by Reuters, although the figures are hard to verify. Russia has said that it does not target civilians despite evidence to the contrary with the targeting of hospitals and other public infrastructure.

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DMU Timestamp: March 15, 2022 14:30

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