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Second Debate

53 percent of people in new WaPo-ABC poll say Hillary Clinton won the debate

5 times Trump tripped up at the first debate

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The general consensus the day after the first presidential debate between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump was that Trump lost. Here are five opportunities he let slip by. (Sarah Parnass/The Washington Post)

Almost three times as many Americans say Hillary Clinton won last Monday’s debate than Donald Trump, with the Democratic nominee regaining a clear favorability advantage over the Republican, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Clinton was also seen as sticking more to the facts during the debate, with far more saying she mainly got facts right than Trump (54 to 29 percent). A larger share said Trump got the facts wrong in the debate (47 percent), with just over 3 in 10 saying he lied on purpose. Just over 2 in 10 say Clinton misstated facts and lied on purpose (21 percent).

More say Trump got the facts wrong in debate than Clinton

Among all adults

0
10
20
30
40
Clinton
24%
Trump
47

The debate appears to have had only a slight impact on each candidate’s popularity, though if anything it aided Clinton. Trump’s 34 percent favorable rating among all Americans is little changed from 35 percent before the debate, but his unfavorable mark has crept up from 59 to 64 percent. Clinton’s 45 percent mark is slightly above her 41-percent mark less than two weeks ago, while unfavorable opinions have ticked down an insignificant two points to 53 percent.

Clinton and Trump favorable ratings among U.S. adults

Among all adults

0
20
40
Jan. 2016
Sept.

48%

41

45%

35

35

34

Clinton
Trump

Trump’s net favorability rating of -30 (favorable minus unfavorable) trails Clinton’s -8 among adults overall; among registered voters, Trump’s net favorability is -24 compared with -12 for Clinton.

The Post-ABC poll conducted Wednesday through Friday found Clinton was seen as the debate’s winner by a 53 to 18 percent margin; 17 percent said it was a draw while the rest had no opinion.

Clinton’s widely perceived victory is still not as lopsided as after the first debate between Romney and Obama in 2012, when nearly 7 in 10 registered voters thought Romney won. But her victory is clearer than after the first debate in 2008, when Obama was seen the winner over McCain by a 38-24 percent margin among registered voters.

Assessments of the debate’s winner vary sharply across partisan lines, though Democrats and independents are more apt to declare her victory. Fully 83 percent of Democrats say Clinton won compared with just 24 percent of Republicans, with independents in the middle at 50 percent. Fewer than half of Republicans think Trump won (45 percent), while 25 percent say it was a draw and the rest had no opinion.

Factual accuracy was a recurring theme throughout the debate, with Clinton repeatedly criticizing Trump for factual inaccuracies. A Washington Post analysis found Trump made 10 questionable statements during the debate while Clinton made three.

[Fact-checking the first Clinton-Trump presidential debate]

Perhaps unsurprisingly, partisans have very different perceptions of Clinton and Trump’s factual accuracy, though as with debate reactions overall Republicans criticized Trump more than Democrats knocked Clinton. When asked about Clinton, 53 percent of Republicans say she mainly got facts wrong during the debate, compared with 22 percent of independents and only 4 percent of Democrats. By contrast, 72 percent of Democrats say Trump mainly got the facts wrong, compared with 45 percent of independents and 15 percent of Republicans.

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Party identification influences perception of honesty

Q: As far as you can tell, did Clinton/Trump mainly get the facts right during the debate, or did she/he mainly get the facts wrong?

0
20
40
60
Clinton mainly got facts wrong:
All adults
24%
Democrats
4
Republicans
53
Independents
22
Trump mainly got facts wrong:
All adults
47
Democrats
72
Republicans
15
Independents
45

The poll found most people who thought Clinton and Trump got facts wrong suspect the candidates’ were lying intentionally rather than misstating facts by accident, but the level of suspicion differed for the two candidates.

Among those who say each got the facts wrong, more say Clinton lied in debate

(Among those who say Clinton/Trump got facts wrong) Do you think he/she mainly lied on purpose, or mainly got the facts wrong without lying on purpose?

0
20
40
60
80
Clinton
89%
Trump
69

Among those who say Clinton got the facts wrong, nearly 9 in 10 believe she lied on purpose while 11 percent think she did so unintentionally. But only about 7 in 10 of those who say Trump got facts wrong say Trump was lying intentionally, while about 3 in 10 think he was simply misstating facts.

The Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted Sept. 28-30 among a random national sample of 630 adults reached on cellular and landline phones. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus five percentage points for overall results.

DMU Timestamp: October 25, 2016 14:13





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